Q1 2026, Advance Estimate | Released April 30, 2026


+1.99 percent
Change in real GDP
Q4 2025 to Q1 2026, annualized
+5.64 percent
Change in current-dollar GDP
Q4 2025 to Q1 2026, annualized
$31.856T
Current-dollar GDP
Q1 2026


From Q4 2025 to Q1 2026:

  • Real GDP increased by 1.99 percent annualized.
  • Current-dollar nominal GDP increased by 5.64 percent annualized, or $433.731 billion, to a level of $31.856 trillion, the current size of the U.S. economy.




Table 1. Gross domestic product

Q1 2026 Q4 2025 Chg. from Q4 2025 Q1 2025 Chg. from Q1 2025
Size of the U.S. Economy
Nominal GDP $31,856.3B $31,422.5B $433.7B $30,042.1B $1,814.1B
Real GDP $24,174.5B $24,055.7B $118.8B $23,548.2B $626.3B


Table 2. Contributions to real gross domestic product growth

Q1 2026 Q4 2025 Chg. from Q4 2025
Quarterly growth rate, annualized (pp)
Nominal GDP 5.6 4.2 1.4pp
– GDP deflator 3.6 3.7 -0.1pp
= Real GDP 2.0 0.5 1.5pp
Contribution of subcomponents (pp)
Consumer spending 1.1 1.3 -0.2pp
Nonresidential fixed investment 1.4 0.3 1.1pp
Residential investment -0.3 -0.1 -0.2pp
Change in private inventories 0.4 0.1 0.3pp
Net exports -1.3 -0.2 -1.1pp
Government spending 0.7 -1.0 1.7pp
Total real GDP growth 2.0 0.5 1.5pp
Subcomponent growth rates (pp)
Consumption 1.6 1.9 -0.3pp
Investment 8.7 2.3 6.4pp
Exports 12.9 -3.2 16.1pp
Imports 21.4 -1.0 22.4pp
Government expenditures 4.4 -5.6 10.0pp


Upcoming releases


Date Time Release Data source
May 05 08:30 AM Monthly Trade Update, March 2026 Bureau of Economic Analysis
May 06 10:00 AM State Employment and Unemployment, March 2026 Bureau of Labor Statistics
May 07 10:00 AM Monthly Debt Update, May 2026 U.S. Treasury
May 08 08:30 AM Monthly Employment Update, April 2026 Bureau of Labor Statistics
May 12 08:30 AM Monthly Inflation Update, April 2026 Bureau of Labor Statistics
May 12 10:00 AM Monthly Fiscal Update, February 2026 U.S. Treasury
May 13 10:00 AM Monthly Fiscal Update, April 2026 U.S. Treasury
May 22 10:00 AM State Employment and Unemployment, April 2026 Bureau of Labor Statistics
May 28 08:30 AM Monthly Expenditures Update, April 2026 Bureau of Economic Analysis
May 28 08:30 AM Monthly GDP Update, Q1 2026 Second Estimate Bureau of Economic Analysis


Notes


Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis; U.S. Treasury; JEC Republicans calculations

“pp” = percentage points

“Real” values are expressed in chained 2017 dollars.

Discrepancy in change figures is possible due to rounding.