Q3 2025, Initial Estimate | Released December 23, 2025


+4.34 percent
Change in real GDP
Q2 2025 to Q3 2025, annualized
+8.24 percent
Change in current-dollar GDP
Q2 2025 to Q3 2025, annualized
$31.095T
Current-dollar GDP
Q3 2025


From Q2 2025 to Q3 2025:

  • Real GDP increased by 4.34 percent annualized.
  • Current-dollar nominal GDP increased by 8.24 percent annualized, or $609.360 billion, to a level of $31.095 trillion, the current size of the U.S. economy.




Table 1. Gross domestic product

Q3 2025 Q2 2025 Chg. from Q2 2025 Q3 2024 Chg. from Q3 2024
Size of the U.S. Economy
Nominal GDP $31,095.1B $30,485.7B $609.4B $29,511.7B $1,583.4B
Real GDP $24,025.0B $23,771.0B $254.0B $23,478.6B $546.4B


Table 2. Contributions to real gross domestic product growth

Q3 2025 Q2 2025 Chg. from Q2 2025
Quarterly growth rate, annualized (pp)
Nominal GDP 8.2 6.0 2.2pp
– GDP deflator 3.9 2.2 1.7pp
= Real GDP 4.3 3.8 0.5pp
Contribution of subcomponents (pp)
Consumer spending 2.4 1.7 0.7pp
Nonresidential fixed investment 0.4 1.0 -0.6pp
Residential investment -0.2 -0.2 0.0pp
Change in private inventories -0.2 -3.4 3.2pp
Net exports 1.6 4.8 -3.2pp
Government spending 0.4 0.0 0.4pp
Total real GDP growth 4.3 3.8 0.5pp
Subcomponent growth rates (pp)
Consumption 3.5 2.5 1.0pp
Investment -0.3 -13.8 13.5pp
Exports 8.8 -1.8 10.6pp
Imports -4.7 -29.3 24.6pp
Government expenditures 2.2 -0.1 2.3pp


Upcoming releases


Date Time Release Data source
Jan 07 10:00 AM State Employment Update, November 2025 Bureau of Labor Statistics
Jan 08 10:00 AM Monthly Debt Update, December 2025 U.S. Treasury
Jan 09 08:30 AM Monthly Employment Update, December 2025 Bureau of Labor Statistics
Jan 13 08:30 AM Monthly Inflation Update, December 2025 Bureau of Labor Statistics
Jan 14 10:00 AM Monthly Fiscal Update, December 2025 U.S. Treasury


Notes


Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis; U.S. Treasury; JEC Republicans calculations

“pp” = percentage points

“Real” values are expressed in chained 2017 dollars.

Discrepancy in change figures is possible due to rounding.